Perugia vs Feralpisalò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 1
ACD
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ACD
1 - 1
PRG
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRG
1 - 0
FRO
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 2
PRG
39%
28%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PRG
1 - 0
PON
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feralpisalò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 0
FER
89%
9%
2%
|
53 | 90 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
FER
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FER
4 - 2
SAV
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 0
FER
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |