Perugia vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
PES
1 - 1
PRG
17%
23%
61%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
RIM
1 - 0
PRG
18%
25%
57%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PRG
2 - 0
TER
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 0
ANC
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
ROM
1 - 3
PRG
73%
17%
11%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
CRO
4 - 0
BAR
43%
25%
31%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
CRO
0 - 1
MES
33%
27%
41%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ACI
1 - 1
CRO
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
CRO
3 - 0
SSS
52%
25%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
USF
2 - 2
CRO
50%
25%
26%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |