Perugia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
17.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
APR
0 - 1
PRG
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
PRG
2 - 1
NEA
71%
19%
10%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
GIU
0 - 1
PRG
16%
25%
59%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
PRG
0 - 1
ARZ
67%
20%
12%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 2
PRG
17%
26%
58%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 0
FCC
77%
16%
6%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
RAA
2 - 1
FCC
43%
27%
31%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCC
2 - 1
CHI
43%
27%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
FAN
1 - 2
FCC
29%
28%
44%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
FCC
1 - 1
MIL
38%
27%
36%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |