Perugia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
+2
11%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.8%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.2%
26.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
ARZ
4 - 1
PRG
41%
31%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
BRE
44%
33%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
VAR
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRI
40%
30%
30%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 0
PRG
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
FCC
0 - 0
COM
55%
28%
17%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1973 |
REG
1 - 0
FCC
35%
35%
30%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
FCC
1 - 0
BAR
57%
28%
15%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
TER
0 - 0
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FCC
2 - 3
AVE
54%
26%
21%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -1 |