Perugia vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
18%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
20.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
TER
1 - 1
PRG
46%
31%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
LIV
53%
28%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1971 |
MAS
1 - 1
PRG
31%
29%
40%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
PRG
4 - 1
ASS
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
MAN
4 - 1
PRG
59%
26%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
FCC
1 - 0
ATL
37%
32%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 1
FCC
54%
28%
18%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1971 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
41%
32%
26%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
FCC
3 - 1
COM
46%
30%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
PIS
0 - 0
FCC
49%
30%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |