Perugia vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
18.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
15.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
VIC
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
47%
31%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
49%
31%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 0
PES
50%
29%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 2
EMP
58%
26%
15%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
EMP
3 - 2
TRI
44%
32%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
USC
4 - 0
EMP
57%
26%
16%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CAT
0 - 1
EMP
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +1 |