Europa League 1/32
Global 1-0
Perugia vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 0
FCC
63%
23%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
SAM
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
PRG
39%
26%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1979 |
PRG
0 - 1
ROM
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1979 |
BAR
0 - 0
PRG
26%
28%
46%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
DZG
1 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
TOR
3 - 1
DZG
85%
10%
5%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
DZG
5 - 1
OLP
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
OLP
3 - 1
DZG
59%
23%
19%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1976 |
DZG
2 - 2
MAG
31%
23%
46%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |