Perugia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
18.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
12.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
USA
1 - 0
PRG
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
2 - 1
PRO
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
PRG
1 - 1
VAR
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
ASF
2 - 1
PRG
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
PRG
38%
29%
34%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
FCV
55%
25%
20%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
COM
82%
14%
5%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
COM
1 - 1
ASS
26%
26%
48%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
VAR
1 - 0
COM
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 1
COM
65%
22%
13%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +1 |