Perugia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
16.8%
1-0
22.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
29.6%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
18%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
30.2%
14.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
CAV
2 - 1
PRG
33%
31%
36%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASS
62%
26%
12%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
AVE
0 - 0
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
PRG
34%
31%
36%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 1
SAL
53%
24%
24%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
COM
0 - 0
LAZ
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
LEC
2 - 1
COM
52%
30%
18%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
ROM
2 - 0
COM
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 0
COM
45%
30%
25%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
COM
1 - 1
VER
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |