Perugia vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
18.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
PRG
3 - 0
FCC
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
BAR
2 - 0
PRG
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
MOD
0 - 0
PRG
47%
27%
26%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
TER
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
REG
1 - 0
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LEC
2 - 0
COM
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
36%
30%
33%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |