Perugia vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 0
PRG
55%
26%
19%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
3 - 1
ASC
43%
29%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
PIA
1 - 0
PRG
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 0
ANC
31%
30%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACI
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
CHI
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 1
UDI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
ATL
3 - 2
CHI
63%
22%
14%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
CHI
0 - 0
COM
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |