Perugia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 2
PRG
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
BOL
37%
29%
34%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 1
SPE
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
PRG
2 - 0
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2014 |
PRG
3 - 1
ACD
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
LEO
3 - 2
CAT
18%
27%
55%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
VIR
67%
21%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAG
2 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 0
FCS
75%
17%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
CAT
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |