Perugia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
19%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 3
PES
56%
26%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
NAP
27%
28%
45%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
24%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 4
FIO
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
1 - 0
VIR
68%
18%
15%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
CAT
2 - 3
VER
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAT
0 - 1
ASC
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAT
54%
22%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |