Perugia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.2%
+2
12%
1-0
19%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
26.1%
33.6%
Draw
0-0
18.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
33.5%
23.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FIO
4 - 0
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
54%
23%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 3
VER
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 1
BAR
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
TAR
50%
31%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
SAM
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 0
COM
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 0
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1973 |
INT
4 - 0
CAT
85%
11%
4%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 0
CAT
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |