Perugia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
REG
0 - 1
PRG
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
SAL
2 - 0
PRG
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
PRG
2 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NAP
2 - 1
PRG
66%
21%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
VNZ
2 - 0
PRG
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1997 |
VNZ
3 - 0
PAD
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
SAL
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |