Perugia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
17.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
21.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRG
56%
28%
16%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
EMP
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
PRG
54%
29%
17%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
26%
17%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
PRG
1 - 1
BAR
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
PAD
2 - 2
BAR
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
PAD
41%
32%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
PAD
0 - 0
PES
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
PAD
53%
27%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |