Perugia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
ASS
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
PRG
1 - 1
GEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
49%
28%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PRG
3 - 0
LIV
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
LEC
0 - 0
PRG
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 0
USF
37%
31%
32%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
REG
1 - 1
PAD
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
SPA
3 - 1
PAD
66%
22%
11%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
1 - 1
GEN
41%
30%
29%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1969 |
PAD
0 - 0
BRE
30%
31%
39%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |