Perugia vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PRG
0 - 0
MOD
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
LAZ
2 - 2
PRG
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
PIS
2 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
PRG
1 - 0
GEN
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRG
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1967 |
PAD
0 - 0
NOV
70%
20%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1967 |
POT
4 - 2
PAD
43%
30%
27%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1967 |
USF
0 - 1
PAD
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 0
FCC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1967 |
PAD
2 - 1
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |