Perugia vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
32.4%
Draw
0-0
16.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.4%
28.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CAV
0 - 0
PRG
44%
31%
26%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
PRG
1 - 0
CES
40%
33%
27%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CAM
0 - 0
PRG
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
PRG
0 - 0
TRI
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
COM
1 - 0
PRG
53%
28%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 0
VAR
56%
28%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1984 |
EMP
1 - 0
CAG
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1984 |
CAG
1 - 0
PAD
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAG
41%
30%
30%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 1
PIS
61%
26%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |