Perugia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2001 |
ACM
3 - 0
PRG
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
2 - 1
PRG
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIA
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2001 |
PRG
6 - 3
MOD
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
1 - 0
PRG
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
COM
1 - 0
BRE
27%
27%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
LAZ
5 - 0
BRE
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
BRE
3 - 2
VNZ
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
PIA
0 - 1
BRE
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
BRE
2 - 2
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |