Perugia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
19.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
15.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 4
ASC
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 2
FCC
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 2
PAL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASS
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1985 |
FCC
0 - 2
BRE
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
1 - 0
PES
48%
29%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
CAT
2 - 1
BRE
54%
29%
17%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
EMP
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
CES
0 - 2
BRE
72%
19%
10%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |