Perugia vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
19%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
FCC
2 - 0
PRG
48%
30%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
0 - 0
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 3
SPA
66%
23%
11%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
USF
0 - 0
PRG
52%
28%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
PRG
1 - 0
USA
68%
22%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1975 |
PAL
1 - 0
BRE
64%
25%
11%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 0
FCC
50%
30%
21%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
SSS
2 - 0
BRE
46%
32%
22%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1975 |
BRE
0 - 1
TAR
61%
25%
13%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1975 |
AVE
2 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |