Perugia vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PRG
82%
13%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 1
FIO
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
VIC
4 - 1
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
VER
2 - 0
PRG
51%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
PRG
1 - 1
NAP
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAG
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
PIA
1 - 1
BOL
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 1
JUV
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1997 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 2
REG
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |