Perugia vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
27.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 0
COM
52%
28%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
53%
28%
19%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
PRG
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1971 |
PRG
0 - 0
NOV
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
ATL
2 - 0
BAR
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1971 |
ATL
1 - 0
PRG
56%
27%
17%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1971 |
ARZ
0 - 0
ATL
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1971 |
ATL
3 - 1
NOV
58%
27%
15%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1971 |
TAR
0 - 0
ATL
36%
32%
32%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |