Perugia vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
JUS
1 - 2
PRG
29%
26%
45%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2020 |
PRG
1 - 0
LIV
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
PRG
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2020 |
NAP
2 - 0
PRG
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
PRG
0 - 1
VNZ
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 0
POR
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CRO
1 - 2
SPE
55%
24%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SPE
1 - 1
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
SPE
2 - 1
SAL
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
ACD
0 - 0
SPE
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |