Perugia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
27.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
ASL
39%
30%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
PIA
1 - 0
PRG
74%
18%
9%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 0
ANC
31%
30%
39%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ACI
0 - 0
PRG
49%
28%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 1
VIC
41%
31%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 1
ATL
36%
29%
34%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1995 |
ASL
5 - 1
ASC
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
VER
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 1
ASC
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
VNZ
52%
26%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |