Perugia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
29.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 0
PRG
49%
30%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 2
FCC
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 2
PAL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
ASS
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRG
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 0
CAG
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1985 |
CES
1 - 0
ASC
46%
28%
26%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
CAM
0 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1985 |
MES
1 - 1
ASC
40%
24%
36%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
ROM
3 - 0
ASC
81%
13%
6%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |