Perugia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
SAM
3 - 1
PRG
51%
29%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
ROM
1 - 2
PRG
64%
23%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
PRG
1 - 1
BOL
40%
29%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
VER
3 - 1
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
PRG
4 - 1
CAG
52%
28%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1976 |
ASC
2 - 0
INT
23%
28%
49%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
JUV
2 - 1
ASC
82%
13%
5%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
ASC
0 - 0
NAP
27%
31%
42%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
LAZ
3 - 1
ASC
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |