Perugia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
42.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAR
47%
32%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
40%
32%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 2
COM
42%
34%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
PAL
1 - 0
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 1
COM
66%
22%
12%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
ASC
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
REG
67%
22%
11%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASC
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |