Perugia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
PRG
0 - 2
CAG
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
PRG
0 - 2
GEN
55%
29%
16%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
PRG
2 - 0
TAR
55%
29%
16%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 3
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
ASC
1 - 1
TER
57%
20%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ASC
0 - 2
CAG
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
RIM
7 - 0
ASC
35%
23%
42%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 1938 |
MAC
5 - 1
ASC
26%
22%
52%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |