Perugia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
19.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRG
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAG
47%
31%
22%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
EMP
1 - 1
PRG
45%
30%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
LEC
47%
31%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
TRI
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOL
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1985 |
PAR
1 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
26%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1985 |
VAR
3 - 0
TAR
67%
22%
11%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 1
VAR
43%
32%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |