Perugia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
18.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1982 |
PES
0 - 2
PRG
27%
33%
40%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 1
PRG
31%
34%
35%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
PRG
1 - 0
RIM
61%
26%
13%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
PIS
2 - 2
PRG
43%
29%
27%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
PRG
0 - 1
BRE
59%
28%
14%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1982 |
VAR
2 - 0
LEC
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
BRE
0 - 0
VAR
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
3 - 1
PAL
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
VAR
42%
31%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
27%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |