Perugia vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.5%
1-0
15%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
33.2%
Draw
0-0
17%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
33.2%
33.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.2%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BRI
0 - 0
PRG
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 3
ASC
29%
29%
42%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 1
PRG
55%
28%
17%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
PRG
1 - 1
PAR
47%
32%
21%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
REG
0 - 0
PRG
40%
32%
28%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
COM
54%
29%
17%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
BAR
0 - 0
VAR
33%
32%
35%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
61%
27%
13%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 0
TAR
61%
26%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
CAT
0 - 0
VAR
40%
32%
28%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |