Perugia vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
17.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.4%
4.6%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 1
PRG
24%
29%
47%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
PRG
0 - 0
RAA
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ACI
0 - 2
PRG
13%
25%
62%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PRG
3 - 2
VIG
78%
16%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LAQ
0 - 1
PRG
31%
28%
40%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASM
1 - 2
FAN
47%
25%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 0
ASM
64%
22%
15%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ASM
1 - 3
APR
47%
23%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ASM
65%
20%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
PAG
3 - 1
ASM
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |