Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
65.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
SSB
0 - 3
PRG
66%
21%
13%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
PRG
0 - 2
LEV
9%
20%
72%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 1
PRG
81%
14%
6%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRG
2 - 1
ACI
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIG
2 - 0
PRG
29%
28%
43%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASG
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 1
BAR
24%
28%
48%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 2
BRE
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
BAR
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |