Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
28.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
VER
1 - 0
PRG
84%
11%
5%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 2
ARZ
46%
31%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
BOL
4 - 2
PRG
54%
28%
18%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
CAT
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1986 |
EMP
1 - 1
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
PIA
1 - 0
BAR
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
UDI
2 - 2
BAR
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
BAR
0 - 1
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
BAR
3 - 1
VER
30%
30%
40%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
NAP
1 - 0
BAR
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |