Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
19.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.1%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
17.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.9%
20.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
PRG
34%
33%
33%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
PRG
2 - 0
PAL
44%
32%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ACM
2 - 1
PRG
66%
22%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
SSS
1 - 0
PRG
37%
32%
30%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
PRG
0 - 1
USC
51%
31%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 0
BOL
43%
30%
27%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
CAM
0 - 0
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
BAR
1 - 2
SSS
60%
26%
15%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
CAT
3 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
BAR
3 - 1
CAV
62%
24%
14%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |