Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
CAG
1 - 2
PRG
51%
27%
23%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
PRG
2 - 1
AVE
59%
26%
15%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
JUV
3 - 0
PRG
71%
19%
10%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
PRG
0 - 0
INT
34%
31%
36%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
ASC
1 - 0
PRG
48%
28%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
SAM
2 - 0
BAR
66%
22%
11%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1980 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
44%
31%
25%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1980 |
VIC
3 - 0
BAR
69%
21%
10%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1980 |
BAR
2 - 0
PIS
49%
31%
21%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAR
67%
22%
11%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |