Perugia vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
29.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
CAS
0 - 0
PRG
40%
29%
32%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
TOR
4 - 1
PRG
82%
12%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 2
TER
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
PRG
0 - 1
SAM
39%
26%
35%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
COM
0 - 0
PRG
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
3 - 0
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 1
TAR
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
USF
52%
24%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 2
FIO
23%
25%
51%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 1
JUV
28%
30%
42%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | +1 |