Perugia vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
NEA
1 - 2
PRG
22%
26%
52%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
3 - 1
GIU
82%
14%
5%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PRG
1 - 1
CAM
83%
13%
4%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
PAG
0 - 0
PRG
36%
29%
35%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
FAN
1 - 1
APR
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 0
PAG
32%
26%
42%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +4 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
USV
2 - 0
APR
29%
25%
46%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
APR
3 - 1
FCC
67%
19%
15%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
MIL
51%
24%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |