Perugia vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
3 - 0
PRG
33%
27%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAL
2 - 2
PRG
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PRG
2 - 1
PES
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
PRG
1 - 0
SSS
57%
26%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAS
1 - 2
PRG
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
ANC
2 - 1
CRO
39%
28%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
POT
0 - 2
ANC
37%
28%
35%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
GAL
0 - 0
ANC
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
ANC
1 - 0
SOR
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 3
ANC
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |