Perugia vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
15%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
VIC
4 - 1
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
PRG
1 - 0
UDI
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
COS
0 - 0
PRG
49%
29%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
PRG
6 - 0
COM
56%
27%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
PES
0 - 0
PRG
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1995 |
ACI
1 - 0
PIA
27%
30%
43%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 0
ACI
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
VER
1 - 0
ACI
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1995 |
ACI
0 - 1
UDI
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
VNZ
3 - 1
ACI
65%
22%
13%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |