Perugia vs Sangiovannese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.1%
2-0
19.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
18.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
25.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
16%
4.8%
Win probability
0.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
PIS
1 - 1
PRG
13%
24%
64%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
MAS
1 - 2
PRG
10%
21%
69%
|
81 | 46 | 35 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
PRG
0 - 0
SAS
79%
16%
5%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
PRG
2 - 1
USF
77%
16%
7%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 1
PRG
10%
23%
68%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Sangiovannese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
JUS
1 - 1
ACS
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
ACS
1 - 0
FRO
32%
26%
42%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
ACS
5 - 3
GEL
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
ACI
1 - 1
ACS
37%
28%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |