Perugia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
12.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 0
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
PRG
1 - 2
PES
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 2
PRG
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2015 |
PRG
2 - 0
CAR
43%
29%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
PES
2 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
REG
3 - 0
ROV
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
BV5
1 - 1
REG
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
REG
0 - 0
BV5
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 4
REG
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +3 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
REG
0 - 2
SPA
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |