Perugia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
18.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.4%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
18.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 0
PRG
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
PRG
2 - 0
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
PRG
0 - 2
ACM
13%
19%
68%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1974 |
CES
3 - 0
PRG
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
PAR
0 - 2
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
VAR
2 - 0
REG
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
TAR
0 - 0
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
REG
1 - 0
AVE
56%
21%
24%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
REG
0 - 2
JUV
10%
22%
68%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1974 |
ARZ
2 - 2
REG
53%
29%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |