Perugia vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
REG
1 - 1
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
USF
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRG
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
MOD
2 - 1
PRG
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 0
LAZ
59%
24%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
VER
3 - 0
REG
43%
30%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1968 |
REG
2 - 0
ASS
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
PIS
0 - 0
REG
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 4
REG
51%
28%
21%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
REG
1 - 0
BAR
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |