Perugia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
CAS
0 - 2
PRG
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
75%
16%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
JUV
17%
28%
55%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 0
VAR
50%
30%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRG
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 1
ASS
92%
6%
2%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1985 |
ASS
3 - 0
PAL
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
ASS
0 - 3
FIO
22%
26%
52%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1985 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
46%
31%
24%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 1985 |
TRI
0 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |