Perugia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
19.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.8%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 2
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
32%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
PRG
2 - 0
BOL
51%
31%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
1 - 1
EMP
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
VIC
5 - 3
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ASS
1 - 1
PAL
48%
30%
22%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
4 - 0
ASS
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 0
PES
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASS
61%
25%
14%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |