Perugia vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
PRG
0 - 1
LIV
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
CAT
1 - 0
PRG
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
PAL
2 - 0
PRG
47%
26%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
BAR
4 - 1
PRG
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
PRG
2 - 1
MES
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ASS
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
VER
52%
26%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1968 |
LEC
2 - 3
ASS
55%
26%
20%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1968 |
ASS
1 - 0
REG
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |