Perugia vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
+4
1.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
20%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
<0%
+1
27.7%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
17.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
PRG
1 - 0
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
CAT
2 - 0
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRI
54%
27%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
VAR
2 - 0
PRG
57%
27%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
PRG
2 - 0
BAR
46%
33%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1973 |
MAN
1 - 2
CAT
47%
32%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1973 |
BRI
1 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 0
VAR
42%
32%
27%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
GEN
3 - 0
MAN
65%
24%
11%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
MAN
0 - 0
ASC
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |